The Oscars 2014 & My Yearly Half-Assed Predictions
|12 Years A Slave|
This year is quite a special Oscar season with me since I’ve been particularly indifferent about it. Usually I’m aware of buzz about the Oscars, I hear about other awards shows leading up to them and I’m asked to fill out people’s Oscar pools. None of that happened this year.
It seems like this year is one of those ‘blah’ years with the Oscars. I haven’t heard anyone talking about it, it doesn’t seem like most of the nominations are going to draw viewers to watch it on TV and other than stumbling onto a commercial that Ellen DeGeneres is hosting this year (there’s a reason for me not to tune in), these Oscars are likely going to come and go quicker than most for me.
But as with tradition I’ll stop and talk about it quickly and throw my hat in the ring of who’s going to win the golden naked guys. This year I’m really going out on a limb since I have only seen two of the films nominated for Best Picture – Captain Phillips and Gravity, and both I liked. Neither of which will win.
It will probably be 12 Years A Slave winning Best Picture. I’ve heard it’s very good and it seems just like the kind of ‘important topic’ movie that voters like to have win. I actually had an opportunity to see it, but just wasn’t in the mood to feel sad and guilty that night. I hear it’s a really heavy film. I’ll see it eventually.
There are nine pictures nominated for Best Picture. I’m not sure how the Academy determines the number of Best Picture nominees anymore. I think now it can be anywhere between five to ten films.
Since they changed that acouple years back it hasn’t made things anymore exciting for the ceremony. They should just say any movie that had a theatrical release is in the running and reveal the number of votes every film got. That could make things a bit more interesting to see if The Lone Ranger got some rogue votes. Although Ranger and Bad Grandpa are both competing for best makeup and hair. That could be a compelling category to watch.
|Dallas Buyers Club|
I am as shocked as anyone that soon we’ll be saying Matthew McConaughey….Oscar winner. Yes, the guy from Fools Gold! Does anyone remember when he first came on the scene and he was being heralded as a new Paul Newman?
Then he settled into making insipid romantic comedies with cutesy titles like Failure to Launch. Lately he’s been spending more time doing quality work, working with more talented filmmakers and not phoning in his performances by just smiling and taking off his shirt. In Dallas Buyers Club, he lost a bunch weight for his part and I’ve heard he gives a terrific performance. Congrats Matt. Now you’ll have enough clout to try to make Sahara 2 happen.
Everyone has talked about Cate Blanchett giving an Oscar-winning performance in Blue Jasmine since it was first released. Things might have dipped a bit with Woody Allen’s personal controversy, but this is about art so in all likelihood voters won’t allow Allen’s behind-the-scenes scandals affect Blanchett from winning the acting award in his movie.
Jared Leto has gotten a lot of attention for his cross-dressing performance in Dallas Buyers Club and seems like a shoo-in with this. Barkhad Abdi was great in Captain Phillips and could be an upset here, but I’m thinking it won’t happen and sadly he’s going to fall off the Hollywood radar.
Supporting Actress comes down between Lupita Nyong’o and Jennifer Lawrence. Nyong’o is the outsider but is said to be fantastic in 12 Years a Slave. Then Lawrence is one of the most popular young actresses in Hollywood burning up the box office with Hunger Games movies and in-between giving quality performances in smaller films. I’m going to go with Lawrence winning with voters giving her a ‘you’ve been playing our game very well, please keep it up’-sort of pat-on-the-back.
|Cuarón filming Gravity|
Gravity will win a bunch of awards in technical, sound and effect categories and Alfonso Cuarón will win best director for it. It’s hard not be impressed with what that movie does visually and Cuarón will reap the benefits from it.
So there you go. I’ll again say I haven’t seen most of what’s nominated and might not have any clue as to what I’m talking about and could be completely wrong on everything, but I don’t really care about it at all this year. I certainly don’t plan on watching the Oscars and will probably be spending the evening catching up on the Walking Dead. I’ll see if I’m right with any of these predication Monday morning.
A half hour before the Oscars I got a call asking to fill out someone’s Oscars picks as they just arrived at a friends party to watch the show. Some people actually do that!
Quickly combing the internet I stole popular picks. Also someone had reminded me that Jennifer Lawrence won last year so I reversed that pick back to Lupita Nyon’o. In the end my picks won the pool. I still have yet to see any Oscar highlights. I’m not sure if I’m really interested in it. Especially after hearing all this talk about Ellen ordering pizza and talking selfies. I’m already sick of it without ever watching it.